Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Draft Analysis - 2 for 2

How are we looking after Week 2? It may be time to wake up and smell the numbers. Let's look at winners and losers of the first two rounds over the first two weeks.



WINNER - The winner continues to be Ninja Meese with Tom Brady. Brady is averaging 31.5 points over two games and destroying the competition. Overall, it looks like owners who went early on elite Quarterbacks are winning out, as 3 of the top 5 scorers are Quarter Backs.

LOSER - Hard to blame anyone for injuries, but Peyton Manning, Arian Foster and now Jamaal Charles owners must be very disappointed. Even more frustrated must be Hopewell Hopesolos and Montreal Champiens whose 1st round Running Backs, Chris Johnson and Rashard Mendenhall, are averaging less than 8 ppg with no injury excuse. To be fair, at least Mendenhall appears to be on an upward swing after the Baltimore embarassment.


Stats to watch:
Let's continue our analysis on Running Backs and see how important it is to draft early. Here are Average ppg of Running Backs by Draft Round. (Sample size in parentheses)
Round 1 - 12.06 (8)
Round 2 - 13.33 (3)
Round 3 - 14.50 (4)
Round 4 - 8.00 (3)
Round 5 - 18.00 (1 - Jahvid Be[a]st)
Round 6 - 9.17 (3)
Round 7 - 3.17 (3)
Round 8 - 11.63 (4)
Round 9 - 8.38 (4)
Round 10 - 9.00 (1)
Round 11 - N/A (0)
Round 12 - 12.25 (2)
Round 13 - 7.30 (5)
Round 14 - 6.75 (2)
Round 15 - 5.75 (2)
Round 16 - 2.50 (2)
Round 17 - 0.50 (1)
Round 18 - N/A (0)
Round 19 - 3.50 (1)
Free Agent - 8.83 (3)

Round 1 is hardly the strongest, but remember it is hampered by injuries this year (Although reliability may be another knock on Running Backs). Rounds 1-3 do appear to be the strongest, but the real drop off does not come until late rounds, like around Round 13 or 14. It will be interesting to look at other positions and how they stack up, but that will probably have to wait until October when I'm back from the UK.

Enjoy, folks!

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